Ethereum can rally to $6K only if ETH holds THIS support


  • ETH’s short-term outlook shows signs of a bullish reversal around the $3,000 psychological level.
  • On-chain metrics suggest selling pressure, but most ETH holders remain in profit.

Ethereum [ETH]  was also hit by the recent altcoin correction, dipping over 20% after being rejected at the $4,000 resistance level.

However, this downtrend may not be significant, as Ethereum’s technical patterns and on-chain metrics show mixed signals of a potential price recovery or further volatility.

ETH approaching key support at $2.8k

On the weekly chart, Ethereum’s price movement shows consolidation in a bullish flag pattern—a pattern that often precedes a breakout. The recent dip has brought ETH close to the lower boundary of this ascending flag at $2,800.

If this level holds strong, it could act as a springboard for a massive upward rally. A successful rebound here may push Ethereum toward its next key target of $6,000.

However, failure to maintain this support could expose ETH to further downside.

ETHUSD 2025 01 10 09 26 29 9f968

Source: TradingView

Signs of a short-term reversal at $3,000

Zooming down to the daily chart, Ethereum’s price action indicates a potential short-term bullish reversal.

The $3,000 psychological level appears pivotal, as ETH trading activity has increased slightly over the last 24 hours.

ETHUSD 2025 01 10 10 02 28 0b570ETHUSD 2025 01 10 10 02 28 0b570

Source: TradingVew

CryptoQuant data supports this, showing a sharp surge in active addresses during the same period. Increased network activity often signals renewed interest, potentially stabilizing prices or sparking an upward move.

Bitcoin Active AddressesBitcoin Active Addresses

Source: CryptoQuant

Rising exchange outflows indicate profit-taking

While short-term signals are relatively bullish, the on-chain metrics tell a different story for the long term.

According to CryptoQuant, ETH’s exchange outflows spiked in the last 24 hours, indicating increasing selling pressure as investors book profits around the $3K psychological level.

Historically, these outflow cycles alternate between peaks and dips, and the current upswing could signify an accumulation of sell-side activity.

Bitcoin Exchange Outflow Total AllBitcoin Exchange Outflow Total All

Source: CryptoQuant

ETH holders remain profitable despite…

Despite short-term corrections, most ETH holders remain in profit. Data from IntoTheBlock reveals that 76% of all addresses holding ETH are profitable at current price levels. This mirrors the confidence among long-term investors and indicates a strong foundation for Ethereum’s potential continuous rally.

Addresses at profitAddresses at profit

Source: IntoTheBlock


Read Ethereum’s [ETH] Price Prediction 2025–2026


The short- and long-term price action of Ethereum hinges on a couple of key levels. The $2.8K flag support level could pave the way for a significant rally if it holds, while increased network activity around the $3K psychological level supports a bullish outlook. 

With most holders still in profit, ETH long-term trajectory remains optimistic.

 

Next: ‘Most crypto projects will not survive’ – Gary Gensler



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